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Peter R. Bain
How To Make A Full-Time Income Trading Less Than Part Time
Big Dogs Exposed
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Newsletter: Fibonacci
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Fibonacci
Italian mathematician Leonardo da Pisa – called Fibonacci – was born around 1170. He discovered what are now commonly referred to as ‘Fibonacci numbers.’
In the following sequence, each successive number is the sum of the two previous numbers: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, etc.
Of interest, any number in that string is approximately 1.618 times the preceding number, and any given number is approximately 0.618 times the following number.
In the 1920s, Ralph Nelson Elliott reasoned in his book "Nature's Law" that Fibonacci ratios are a truism in trading, thus giving birth to that notion. Fibonacci ratios became the basis of his now-famous ‘Elliott Wave Theory,’ and are used by traders as a currency trading strategy, and in their commodity trading rules and stock market successful trading strategies.
The implication of Fibonacci numbers for the forex becomes readily apparent, when you realize that an exchange rate is simply a representation of collective human thought.
Of the four popular Fibonacci studies, arcs, fans, retracement lines and time zones, the latter two are discussed here.
Fibonacci retracements begin with connecting a trendline between two extreme points – i.e., a trough and opposing peak. Then, nine horizontal lines intersect that trendline at the Fibonacci levels of 0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 261.8% and 423.6%. Some of these lines may end up off the scale and, therefore, not viewable.
Price usually retraces a significant portion, and perhaps all, of an extreme price move, either up or down. During this process, price often hesitates at support and resistance levels, which tend to coincide with the Fibonacci retracement lines.
Fibonacci stress days are denoted as a series of vertical lines, drawn at the Fibonacci intervals of 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, etc. These Fibonacci time zones are used to look for unusual price behavior in and around those lines. Major support or resistance areas of the tradable in the past, called origin dates, constitute the start dates for the Fibonacci calculation. The range extends from short-term to long-term signals.
(Source: Chartware)
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