COT, Commodity trading rules, currency trading strategy and stock market

successful trading strategies found here.  Read

our trading testimonials now!

trading   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Peter R. Bain

prbain@tradingsmarts.com

 

How To Make A Full-Time Income Trading Less Than Part Time

    Big Dogs Exposed    

 

Sound familiar?  You have spent years surfing the 'Net, and studying books and charts in search of commodity trading rules, a currency trading strategy, stock market successful trading strategies, or information on how to use commitments of traders data.  All you really want is the 'Holy Grail' of entry techniques.  You usually end up adding one indicator on top of another, switching from one guru to the next, until you are so confused and unsure of your entry system that you are unable to make entry decisions and stay organized.  You get so distracted and frustrated that you quit watching the markets all together!

Shows you how FAST you can make money when the BIG DOGS make their move - by shamelessly copying this winning group .  Even I am STILL surprised by how much power they have over ALL markets - not just commodities futures, currencies, and stocks.

Newsletter: Forex Hedging

This information is provided in support of the TradingSmarts Newsletter, which caters to those traders in search of commodity trading rules, a currency trading strategy, and stock market successful trading strategies. If you haven't yet subscribed, you can do so by going to www.tradingsmarts.com and accepting the invitation when you click away.

Forex Hedging (Currencies - Hedging Exchange Rates):

Currency Trading Strategy Backround -

Traders often employ the currency options that trade on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX), which lists six U.S. dollar-based standardized currency option contracts, to hedge exchange rates. They settle in the physical currency, if exercised.

At the PHLX, currency options are U.S. or European-style exercise. Long-term options are European-style exercise. What this means is that you can only exercise your positions on the last day of trading. You can exercise U.S. style options at any time up to, and including, the last day of trading.

The PHLX offers a variety of expirations with its currency options contracts. These include mid-month expirations and month-end expirations. Mid-month options stop trading, and expire, on the Friday preceding the third Wednesday of the expiration month. Month-end options stop trading, and expire, on the last Friday of the expiration month.

Premiums for dollar-based options are stated in U.S. cents per unit of the underlying currency – the exception being the yen, which is quoted in hundredths of a U.S. cent.

Currency Trading Strategy Example -

Okay, let’s pick a currency to illustrate the use of options for hedging.

Let’s suppose the premium on a particular Canadian dollar call is quoted at 1.25. The underlying value of each Canadian dollar option is $50,000. US$.0125 per Canadian dollar contract represents a premium of US$1.25. The total option premium would be US$625 (50,000 x $0.0125), since each Canadian dollar option is worth $50,000.

Now, let’s consider hedging. Each Canadian dollar call option is exercisable into $50,000. At a U.S. dollar exchange rate of US75 cents (in the case of a 75 call option), that would translate into each Canadian dollar call having the right to buy US$37,500.

Let’s suppose you are a Canadian business person who regularly transacts in U.S. dollars, and you are worried about the loonie rising to US85 cents. You decide to buy the call for US$625 to protect yourself against losses you would incur should the loonie in fact rise. The call will rise in tandem if the loonie does.

If the loonie does rise in value, as you continue to do business in U.S. dollars, your dollar sales would begin to slip, even though unit sales may keep pace with past performance. That’s because you would be receiving U.S. dollars from purchasers, which when converted back into Canadian funds, would translate into less purchasing power.

Enter the option advantage and its hedging feature.

Assume that the Canadian dollar goes up to US85 cents. At that point, the Canadian dollar 75 Call would be worth US10 cents (the new US85 cent exchange rate less the strike price of US75 cents), or US$5,000 per contract ($50,000 times 0.10). The profit on the currency option would be US$4,375 (US$5,000 less US$625).

That tidy little profit would cushion you against the blow of a rising loonie, and probably come close to compensating you for any real losses you were to incur in the exchange of currencies.

Were the loonie to fall, you would only lose the premium paid for the call. However, you would benefit from the stronger U.S. dollar payments.

Currency Trading Strategy ‘Options’ -

Of course, if you are a trader of currencies, you can use the same strategy, with limited risk, to lock in a position you see coming. For example, if you notice the commercials going longer a particular currency, you may wish to play it safe and buy an option – while perhaps at the same time day trading the currency in the cash (forex) or futures markets.

If you have trouble getting your entry points right in the futures or spot markets and/or keep getting stopped out, at least you will have the peace of mind of knowing your option is working for you – and making money. You can employ the same strategy for ‘short’ situations through the use of put options.

In addition to employing this options strategy, you could also position trade the cash (forex) or futures markets, if that is your preference over day trading. The options strategy would give you the added comfort of knowing you are participating in a potential move, while you are trying to get your entry points down in the other markets.

Just remember that the commercials are never a week late when they move, but can be as early as three months too soon before the underlying currency reacts to their sizeable positions – either long or short. But, knowing what their true bias is means that you can use technical analysis to take you into the trade when the indicators you are using confirm that the time has come to act.

And more

For more on how to interpret what the commercial traders are up to, don’t forget to get yourself a copy of my popular book on dissecting their every move. It’s available by clicking here: currency trading strategy

Even funds do it too.

Canadian U.S. funds use derivative hedging to minimize the impact of currency fluctuations. Rather than providing an element of currency speculation, they use derivatives to render all investment gains into Canadian currency. They hedge their portfolios using forwards contracts to ensure they are always giving Canadian investors a return in Canadian dollars.

When it comes to commodity trading rules, a currency trading strategy, or stock market successful trading strategies, you will find a whole lot more in my internationally acclaimed book ... 

 

With a few simple mouse clicks ...

 

Click here to order now.

"Free" unlimited personal consultation with each purchase

"No-Games, No-Strings" Money Back Guarantee
 

Over 76% of our customers have been trading four years or more.  Almost 24% have been at it for over 20.  Even experienced traders know they have more to learn.  No matter what market you're in, whether your preference is commodities, currencies, futures, options, stocks, mutual funds, intraday or inter-day, whether you're a beginner who needs a concrete plan or a seasoned trader, or simply looking for information on how to use commitments of traders data, you've come to the right place.  Most traders who come to us just want to know how to trade commodities futures, currencies, and stocks against the 'dumb money,' and ...

How To Make A Full-Time Income Trading Less Than Part Time

Have a day job; can't watch the markets; want to trade?
Want to see intraday real-time stock charts for free?
Want to learn how to daytrade in 11 easy steps?
Want to trade without paying commissions?
Want to get paid for your stock picks?
Read on ...

 

Find out what a blind, three-legged dog with a note tied

around its neck could do, even in a market jumping

up and down like a kangaroo on speed ...

 

Find out how the "Big Dogs" got rich and what

they are hiding from you ...

 

Find out what only 10% of traders know ...

 

Stop trading with your eyes closed ...

WARNING:

DO NOT TRADE UNTIL

YOU READ THE NEXT PAGE!

Click here for the ultimate trading experience now!

FAQ | Guarantee | Home | Order | Fund One | Contact Us | Kudos | MACD | Rules | 3Days | Divergence

Markets | CCI | STO | Fund Two | Options | A/D | Privacy Policy | Trading Tricks | Trading Secrets

RR | Commodities | Stocks | 4 % Rule | Currencies | Exposed | COT | Ideas | Advice | Big Dogs

Content | Mission | Trading | Software | Dumb Money | Smart Money | Order Types | FYI

Indicators | 7Habits | 2Truths | SM Indicator | Glossary | Swing Trade | Pivots | Gaps

Monthly Newsletter:  Stocks, Commodities Futures, Currencies, and Markets